Third Division Malta Relegation Round Round 4

Mellieha vs Gharghur analysis

Mellieha Gharghur
48 ELO 38
-13.7% Tilt 0.6%
5598º General ELO ranking 7401º
39º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
57%
Mellieha
23.3%
Draw
19.7%
Gharghur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Mellieha
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
Gharghur
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mellieha
+22%
-32%
Gharghur

ELO progression

Mellieha
Gharghur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mellieha
Mellieha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
KIR
Kirkop United
1 - 2
Mellieha
MEL
32%
25%
43%
47 41 6 0
02 Mar. 2025
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 7
Mellieha
MEL
21%
24%
55%
45 33 12 +2
23 Feb. 2025
MEL
Mellieha
1 - 2
Qormi FC
QOR
41%
25%
34%
46 44 2 -1
15 Feb. 2025
MEL
Mellieha
0 - 0
Qormi FC
QOR
42%
25%
33%
46 44 2 0
09 Feb. 2025
ATT
Attard
0 - 2
Mellieha
MEL
59%
21%
20%
44 49 5 +2

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
67%
18%
15%
39 31 8 0
01 Mar. 2025
QOR
Qormi FC
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
63%
20%
17%
40 45 5 -1
23 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
31%
24%
45%
38 43 5 +2
14 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
27%
24%
50%
39 47 8 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MSI
Msida St Joseph
0 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
31%
23%
46%
38 29 9 +1