Melita vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZAB
4 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
ZUR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
MEL
34%
24%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 0
MSI
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIE
2 - 2
MEL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SWI
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SEN
2 - 2
LUQ
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 0
ZEJ
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZEB
1 - 1
LUQ
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUQ
4 - 1
ATT
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |