Melita vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZAB
4 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
ZUR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 0
MSI
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIE
2 - 2
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SWI
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SEN
2 - 2
LUQ
63%
20%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 0
ZEJ
26%
23%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZEB
1 - 1
LUQ
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUQ
4 - 1
ATT
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |