Melistar vs Peña Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melistar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CET
1 - 2
MEL
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
4 - 0
GIM
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 4
MEL
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 4
MEL
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
8 - 0
TER
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 4
MEL
19%
20%
62%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
PEN
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CET
3 - 0
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
GIM
33%
22%
44%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
5 - 1
PEN
84%
11%
6%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |