UD Melilla vs Unión Estepona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
JER
1 - 3
MEL
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 4
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
CFB
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CIU
0 - 1
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
RJA
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CFB
0 - 0
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 2
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
ROQ
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |