UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
JER
1 - 1
MEL
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 2
ATH
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
TAL
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SEV
1 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
BAL
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 0
CPC
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RJA
2 - 0
DHE
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |