UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ADR
1 - 0
MEL
35%
26%
38%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
IMP
1 - 1
MEL
28%
26%
45%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
MEL
3 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
RJA
3 - 2
IMP
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ALM
3 - 1
RJA
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
RJA
5 - 0
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAL
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
UDF
1 - 1
RJA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |