UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
AGD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 1
MEL
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
ULP
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 1
LUC
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
TUD
0 - 2
LUC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |