UD Melilla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AGD
2 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALG
39%
31%
29%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
UBC
0 - 1
MEL
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MEL
4 - 0
TAL
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
DBN
1 - 1
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 0
ALG
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 0
LOR
26%
31%
44%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LOR
7 - 1
CDZ
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOR
32%
31%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 0
CDB
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |