UD Melilla vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LIN
1 - 2
MEL
42%
22%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
MEL
4 - 1
COR
70%
16%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
2 - 3
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
MEL
4 - 2
CAD
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 2
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
3 - 2
LCF
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 0
CAD
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
MAL
5 - 0
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
5 - 2
REC
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |