UD Melilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ELD
2 - 1
MEL
23%
26%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
NUC
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDE
3 - 1
MEL
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
LEV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUL
1 - 3
MEL
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CSP
2 - 1
HER
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ELD
2 - 2
HER
20%
27%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
NUC
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 1
HER
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |