UD Melilla vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
16.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CDB
2 - 0
MEL
48%
29%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
MEL
2 - 0
ARC
63%
24%
13%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
BET
0 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
IME
0 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
MEL
1 - 0
DBN
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SFE
1 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
MER
1 - 0
SFE
41%
33%
26%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAR
87%
9%
3%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SFE
1 - 0
UBE
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
JER
0 - 0
SFE
40%
33%
28%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |