Melias vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 4
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
RUA
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 3
MEL
28%
19%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 4
MEL
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
4 - 1
LEI
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 2
LEI
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARR
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 3
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
ARR
40%
23%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ARR
3 - 1
TRI
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |