Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
KAW
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
KAW
2 - 2
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 2
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
4 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
CCM
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 0
WPH
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +4 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 2
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
WES
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |