FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAC
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALM
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
OAK
2 - 2
MEL
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
HEU
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DAC
1 - 1
SOU
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAN
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |