FC Melbourne Knights vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
MAR
5 - 0
MEL
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MEL
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
CSC
4 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 2
SYD
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 0
PER
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 3
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAD
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |