FC Melbourne Knights vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
HUM
0 - 0
MEL
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HEU
1 - 0
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 2
OAK
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 1
GRE
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAS
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
WEC
0 - 1
PAS
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 1
AVH
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PAS
5 - 2
DAN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |