FC Melbourne Knights vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1984 |
WAD
0 - 4
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1984 |
MEL
0 - 0
HEU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1984 |
MEL
3 - 1
PLI
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1984 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
HEU
1 - 0
FOO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1984 |
HEU
0 - 0
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1984 |
MEL
0 - 0
HEU
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1984 |
HEU
1 - 0
ADE
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1984 |
HEU
1 - 0
API
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |