FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 1
PLI
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 0
MEL
29%
23%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DAN
5 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
OAK
3 - 1
DAN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
AVH
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
1 - 0
SOU
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 2
HEU
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |