FC Melbourne Knights vs Ballarat Red Devils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 1
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HEU
1 - 0
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
OAK
3 - 1
MEL
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HUM
2 - 0
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 3
HUM
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 1
BRD
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BRD
3 - 2
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 4
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |