Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WUF
1 - 2
MCI
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 0
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 1
ADE
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 0
MCI
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 5
MCI
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | +2 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WPH
1 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
WPH
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WPH
0 - 1
WUF
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 2
WPH
6%
12%
82%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
MEL
3 - 1
WPH
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |