Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
WES
2 - 1
MCI
30%
25%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 1
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
SYD
3 - 1
MCI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
MCI
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
CCM
0 - 0
WPH
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 4
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
WPH
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
WPH
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
WPH
2 - 3
MEL
36%
25%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |