Melbourne City vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
2º
17
9º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ADE
1 - 0
MCI
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 0
MCI
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 0
MCI
16%
22%
61%
|
76 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
2 - 0
WUF
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FRC
2 - 2
PER
7%
11%
83%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
CCM
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 2
MEL
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |