Mechal vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
9º
49
1º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
KET
0 - 1
MAK
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 2
AMK
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ADK
2 - 0
MAK
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
HAD
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
JAJ
0 - 1
MAK
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WED
0 - 1
ETH
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ETH
4 - 1
LEG
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AMK
3 - 4
ETH
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 7
KGI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 1
SIB
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |