Mechal vs Ethiopia Bunna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
9º
43
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 3
MAK
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
WOL
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AWK
0 - 2
MAK
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
MEH
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 2
SIB
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia Bunna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KGI
1 - 1
ETB
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ADK
0 - 3
ETB
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ETB
0 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ETB
0 - 1
HAD
49%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 2
ETB
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |