Mechal vs Addis Ababa Ketema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SEB
0 - 1
MAK
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AMK
0 - 1
MAK
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ETB
3 - 4
MAK
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
MAK
1 - 2
MKE
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
AWK
5 - 1
MAK
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Addis Ababa Ketema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AAK
1 - 2
AMK
47%
28%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
AAK
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
WOK
1 - 0
AAK
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
AAK
0 - 3
KGI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ETB
2 - 0
AAK
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |