De Meern vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
JOS
0 - 0
DEM
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 0
PUR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
DEM
0 - 3
DEZ
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 3
DEM
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCB
0 - 0
DEM
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PUR
2 - 1
USV
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
KFC
0 - 0
USV
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
USV
1 - 1
DWV
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
JOS
2 - 0
USV
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USV
0 - 2
DEZ
29%
24%
46%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |