KV Mechelen vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
4º
37
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 16 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 13 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 12 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 9 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 6 |
6º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 2
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KVC
2 - 2
KVM
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
KVM
2 - 3
KVC
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
KVM
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 3
KVC
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SDL
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
DEN
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
DEN
2 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
KVM
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |