Mdina Knights vs Kercem Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MDI
2 - 5
SEN
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FUN
3 - 0
MDI
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MDI
3 - 2
DIN
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FUN
1 - 2
MDI
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ZAB
2 - 0
MDI
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KER
1 - 2
LUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |