MC Alger vs Biskra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
1º
20
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 56 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 33 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 31 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 24 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
OAK
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
USK
0 - 1
ALG
31%
31%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 0
ORA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
ALG
50%
28%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
JSK
1 - 2
ALG
37%
31%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Biskra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
USB
0 - 1
JSK
35%
30%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
USB
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USB
2 - 1
SAO
28%
30%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 2
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 0
BEL
26%
30%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |