Mbeya City vs African Lyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
JKT
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
KMC
1 - 0
MBE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
MBA
2 - 2
MBE
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
MBE
1 - 0
MWA
47%
29%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NDA
0 - 0
MBE
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
African Lyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
AFR
2 - 0
LFC
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
AFR
1 - 1
BUM
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
TAN
0 - 0
AFR
60%
26%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
AFR
77%
17%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 1
AFR
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |