Mbarara City vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
MHF
0 - 1
MCF
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
MCF
0 - 2
KCC
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NEC
1 - 0
MCF
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 0
WAK
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
MCF
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
UPD
0 - 0
KIT
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
UPD
0 - 2
EXP
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
UPD
0 - 1
VIP
35%
26%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
UPD
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 1
MHF
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |