Mbarara City vs Tooro United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MCF
1 - 1
URA
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 1
MCF
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
MCF
1 - 0
BUL
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
PBA
0 - 2
MCF
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MCF
2 - 1
SCV
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tooro United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SOA
2 - 1
NFC
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
URA
0 - 0
SOA
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
SOA
2 - 2
SCV
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
UGA
2 - 1
SOA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SOA
0 - 0
OND
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |