Mbarara City vs Maroons FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
UPD
1 - 0
MCF
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
VIP
2 - 0
MCF
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MCF
3 - 0
NBT
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
MCF
0 - 0
SOA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
MFC
1 - 1
VIP
48%
27%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
MFC
0 - 0
MFC
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SCV
0 - 0
MFC
48%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
MFC
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |