Mbao vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MBA
1 - 1
TAN
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
MBA
2 - 2
SIM
38%
30%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MTI
2 - 1
MBA
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 1
MBA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KAG
0 - 1
MBA
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 2
MBE
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 1
MBE
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MBE
1 - 0
NMF
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MBE
0 - 1
NDA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MBE
1 - 0
MMA
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |