Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
UMB
1 - 2
MBA
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
MBA
2 - 3
MHL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
EMF
2 - 2
MBA
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MBA
1 - 0
YOU
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
MBA
6 - 0
MUS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
4 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
EMF
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
YOU
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |