Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sea Birds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
9º
3º
28
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DNV
2 - 2
MBA
36%
22%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MBA
1 - 1
YOU
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MBA
0 - 0
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MBA
2 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
MBA
4 - 1
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sea Birds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 2
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ROY
1 - 1
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
MIL
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MBA
2 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
DNV
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |