Mazorqueros vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazorqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 4
MAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAZ
0 - 0
MIN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
NAY
0 - 2
MAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAZ
3 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
MAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAT
2 - 3
DUR
11%
27%
62%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 1
DUR
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
CSI
84%
13%
4%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |