Mazenod Swallows vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 0
MSW
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MSW
0 - 6
MAT
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 0
MSW
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MSW
2 - 2
MFC
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
KLI
2 - 0
MSW
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 0
KLI
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LCS
1 - 0
LIO
48%
28%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIO
1 - 0
LFC
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
LIO
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |