Mazenod Swallows vs Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
15º
15º
12
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
MSW
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
LMP
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
LDF
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
MFC
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 0
MSW
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
LDF
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 0
GAL
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
MFC
42%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
LFC
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |