Mazatlán vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability

1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability

1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-5%
+3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
16º
14º
10
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
18 | 33 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
![]() |
4º
|
13 | 31 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
![]() |
3º
|
14 | 31 |
3º
|
16% | |
![]() |
5º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
![]() |
2º
|
14 | 29 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
![]() |
7º
|
10 | 26 |
6º
|
13% | |
![]() |
8º
|
9 | 26 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
![]() |
6º
|
11 | 23 |
8º
|
8% | |
![]() |
16º
|
4 | 22 |
9º
|
8% | |
![]() |
14º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
![]() |
9º
|
7 | 22 |
11º
|
9% | |
![]() |
13º
|
6 | 21 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
![]() |
12º
|
6 | 21 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
![]() |
11º
|
6 | 20 |
14º
|
11% | |
![]() |
10º
|
6 | 18 |
15º
|
17% | |
![]() |
15º
|
5 | 17 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
![]() |
17º
|
4 | 16 |
17º
|
22% | |
![]() |
18º
|
4 | 13 |
18º
|
46.5% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Play-offs
|
3% | 46.5% |
Next round
|
20.5% | 36% |
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression






Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazatlán

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Aug. 2025 |
MON
![]() 3 - 2
![]() MAZ
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
10 Aug. 2025 |
MAZ
![]() 2 - 2
![]() TIJ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
06 Aug. 2025 |
MAZ
![]() 0 - 2
![]() SDI
80%
14%
7%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
02 Aug. 2025 |
HOD
![]() 0 - 2
![]() MAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
30 Jul. 2025 |
LAN
![]() 1 - 1
![]() MAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Aug. 2025 |
IMI
![]() 2 - 1
![]() TIG
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
17 Aug. 2025 |
TIG
![]() 1 - 3
![]() AME
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
09 Aug. 2025 |
TIG
![]() 7 - 0
![]() PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
06 Aug. 2025 |
TIG
![]() 1 - 2
![]() LAN
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
02 Aug. 2025 |
TIG
![]() 2 - 1
![]() SDI
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |