Liga MX Apertura Round 6

Mazatlán vs Tigres UANL analysis

Mazatlán Tigres UANL
80 ELO 84
7.6% Tilt -12.8%
658º General ELO ranking 340º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.3%
Mazatlán
26%
Draw
27.7%
Tigres UANL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
Mazatlán
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
Tigres UANL
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mazatlán
-5%
+3%
Tigres UANL

Points and table prediction

Mazatlán
Their league position
Tigres UANL
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
16º
14º
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Monterrey
18
33
32.5%
Toluca
13
31
20.5%
Cruz Azul
14
31
16%
Pachuca
13
31
9.5%
América
14
29
11.5%
Tigres UANL
10
26
13%
Tijuana
9
26
8.5%
FC Juárez
11
23
8%
Chivas Guadalajara
16º
4
22
8%
Necaxa
14º
5
22
10º
8.5%
León
7
22
11º
9%
Atl. San Luis
13º
6
21
12º
10.5%
Pumas UNAM
12º
6
21
13º
10.5%
Mazatlán
11º
6
20
14º
11%
Santos Laguna
10º
6
18
15º
17%
Atlas FC
15º
5
17
16º
14.5%
Querétaro
17º
4
16
17º
22%
Puebla
18º
4
13
18º
46.5%
Expected probabilities
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
Play-offs
3% 46.5%
Next round
20.5% 36%
Mid-table
76.5% 17.5%

ELO progression

Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
Pumas UNAM
Chivas Guadalajara
León
Santos Laguna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2025
MON
Monterrey
3 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
57%
24%
20%
80 84 4 0
10 Aug. 2025
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
45%
25%
30%
80 81 1 0
06 Aug. 2025
MAZ
Mazatlán
0 - 2
San Diego FC
SDI
80%
14%
7%
80 39 41 0
02 Aug. 2025
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
55%
24%
21%
80 83 3 0
30 Jul. 2025
LAN
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
58%
23%
19%
80 83 3 0

Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2025
IMI
Inter Miami
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
62%
21%
18%
83 84 1 0
17 Aug. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 3
América
AME
47%
26%
28%
84 84 0 -1
09 Aug. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
7 - 0
Puebla
PUE
62%
22%
16%
84 75 9 0
06 Aug. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 2
Los Angeles FC
LAN
42%
24%
34%
84 83 1 0
02 Aug. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
2 - 1
San Diego FC
SDI
90%
8%
2%
84 39 45 0