Mazaleon vs Pena Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAZ
39%
22%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 1
PUE
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SPO
9 - 0
MAZ
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pena Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 2
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
PRO
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 1
CFL
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NLT
1 - 1
PRO
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 1
PRO
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |