Mazaleon vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 1
MAZ
48%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 4
SPO
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAZ
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAZ
2 - 0
CAL
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAZ
0 - 0
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
6 - 0
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
5 - 0
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
ALC
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
QUI
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CFL
2 - 2
ALC
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |