COSAFA Challenge Cup Group C Round 3

Mauritius vs Mozambique analysis

Mauritius Mozambique
37 ELO 59
-4.3% Tilt -0.1%
7781º General ELO ranking 2589º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.1%
Mauritius
17.6%
Draw
74.3%
Mozambique

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
Mauritius
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
74.3%
Win probability
Mozambique
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mauritius
Mozambique
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauritius
Mauritius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2023
ANG
Angola
0 - 1
Mauritius
MUS
83%
13%
4%
36 72 36 0
07 Jul. 2023
MUS
Mauritius
0 - 2
Lesotho
LSO
13%
21%
66%
37 53 16 -1
18 Jun. 2023
MUS
Mauritius
1 - 0
Kenya
KEN
12%
22%
66%
36 63 27 +1
14 Jun. 2023
MUS
Mauritius
1 - 3
Djibouti
DJI
42%
21%
37%
37 30 7 -1
11 Jun. 2023
MUS
Mauritius
3 - 0
Pakistan
PAK
48%
24%
28%
36 35 1 +1

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2023
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 1
Lesotho
LSO
51%
26%
23%
60 53 7 0
07 Jul. 2023
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
20%
27%
53%
60 72 12 0
18 Jun. 2023
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
38%
27%
35%
59 60 1 +1
14 Jun. 2023
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Malawi
MWI
39%
29%
32%
59 60 1 0
28 Mar. 2023
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal
SEN
9%
25%
67%
59 86 27 0