Maur Lusitanos vs Tourcoing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
SML
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
OLY
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 4
SML
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SML
0 - 0
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tourcoing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 1
LIL
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 2
AIL
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NOI
2 - 0
TOU
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
TOU
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |