Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
13º
31
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
SML
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SML
1 - 2
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
USB
1 - 0
SML
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
LUS
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRC
0 - 0
SML
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MET
1 - 2
BOB
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
MET
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
MET
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |