Paulista B Group C Round 12

Mauaense vs Guarulhos analysis

Mauaense Guarulhos
27 ELO 22
0.4% Tilt 0.1%
10500º General ELO ranking 10778º
432º Country ELO ranking 438º
ELO win probability
59%
Mauaense
20.6%
Draw
20.4%
Guarulhos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Mauaense
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.4%
Win probability
Guarulhos
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mauaense
-16%
-5%
Guarulhos

ELO progression

Mauaense
Guarulhos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauaense
Mauaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2015
DIA
Diadema
2 - 3
Mauaense
MAU
51%
23%
26%
27 30 3 0
20 Jun. 2015
MAU
Mauaense
1 - 2
EC São Bernardo
BER
32%
25%
43%
28 38 10 -1
13 Jun. 2015
ECU
ECUS
1 - 2
Mauaense
MAU
14%
19%
67%
27 11 16 +1
06 Jun. 2015
MAU
Mauaense
3 - 4
Jabaquara
JAB
48%
23%
29%
28 27 1 -1
30 May. 2015
MAU
Mauaense
2 - 0
Taboão da Serra
TAB
34%
25%
41%
26 34 8 +2

Matches

Guarulhos
Guarulhos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2015
GUA
Guarulhos
1 - 1
Portuguesa Santista
POR
23%
26%
51%
21 38 17 0
20 Jun. 2015
USA
União Suzano
1 - 1
Guarulhos
GUA
57%
21%
22%
21 24 3 0
13 Jun. 2015
GUA
Guarulhos
2 - 1
Manthiqueira
MAN
30%
24%
45%
20 25 5 +1
06 Jun. 2015
TAB
Taboão da Serra
4 - 1
Guarulhos
GUA
67%
19%
14%
20 33 13 0
30 May. 2015
BER
EC São Bernardo
2 - 1
Guarulhos
GUA
69%
18%
13%
20 37 17 0