Paulista B First Stage Round 7

Mauaense vs Flamengo SP analysis

Mauaense Flamengo SP
28 ELO 40
-6.9% Tilt -15.6%
9908º General ELO ranking 8340º
411º Country ELO ranking 357º
ELO win probability
24.1%
Mauaense
24.6%
Draw
51.3%
Flamengo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
Mauaense
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.3%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mauaense
-12%
-12%
Flamengo SP

ELO progression

Mauaense
Flamengo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauaense
Mauaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2019
JAB
Jabaquara
1 - 1
Mauaense
MAU
30%
27%
43%
27 22 5 0
01 May. 2019
MFC
Mauá
0 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
53%
22%
26%
27 30 3 0
20 Apr. 2019
MAU
Mauaense
1 - 1
Barcelona EC
BAR
63%
19%
18%
27 20 7 0
14 Apr. 2019
GUA
Guarulhos
0 - 1
Mauaense
MAU
60%
21%
20%
26 36 10 +1
06 Apr. 2019
MAU
Mauaense
0 - 3
União Suzano
USA
51%
21%
28%
27 23 4 -1

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2019
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Jabaquara
JAB
68%
19%
13%
40 22 18 0
28 Apr. 2019
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Barcelona EC
BAR
71%
18%
12%
40 20 20 0
21 Apr. 2019
GUA
Guarulhos
1 - 3
Flamengo SP
FLA
34%
24%
42%
39 35 4 +1
13 Apr. 2019
USA
União Suzano
2 - 0
Flamengo SP
FLA
20%
21%
59%
41 24 17 -2
07 Apr. 2019
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
Mauá
MFC
60%
21%
20%
41 29 12 0