Mauá vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 2
MFC
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 1
MFC
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
CAT
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 5
MFC
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
VOC
24%
27%
49%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 5
MFC
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |