Mauá vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RIO
3 - 1
MFC
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 1
MFC
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MFC
3 - 1
AAI
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 0
ITA
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
0 - 0
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 2
FER
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |