Mattersburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mattersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 0
MAT
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KAP
1 - 1
MAT
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 0
AUS
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 1
MAT
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 1
WIN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STR
0 - 0
RIE
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
STR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AWM
2 - 0
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STR
0 - 1
WIE
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |